Case No. 400·India
2023·Bir Tikendrajit International Airport, Imphal (Manipur)
India.Imphal Airport · object over the tower
On 19 November 2023, at 14:30, the control tower at Imphal airport in north-east India was told by the airfield's security force that an unidentified white object was over the tower. It remained visible until 16:05. Take-offs and landings were suspended for nearly three hours under an official notice to airmen, two flights were diverted and three departures delayed. The Air Force sent two Rafale fighters, which found nothing. The Ministry of Civil Aviation confirmed all of it to Parliament.
Year
2023
Tier
A
Probability
40%
Category
Incident
Institutional evidence: multiple verifiable witnesses or official documentation. Three independent axes: the «tier» measures the strength of the evidence; the «probability» estimates how genuinely unexplained the case is —a natural phenomenon can remain unexplained, so it does not equal «non-prosaic»—; and the partition of explanations (below) says what it most plausibly was. So a well-documented case can have a possible hoax as its most plausible cause, and a Tier B is not, for that reason, a hoax.
Primary documents · viewer

Context · the apron and control tower of Imphal airport, over which the object was seen
Arrival in Imphal through the Imphal International Airport 01.jpg · Wikimedia Commons · CC0 · open original
Part 01
The night in question
On Sunday 19 November 2023, at 14:30 India time, the control tower at Bir Tikendrajit International Airport in Imphal, capital of Manipur state, received a call from the control room of the Central Industrial Security Force (CISF), the federal force that guards the country's airports. It said an unidentified flying object could be seen near the airfield, right above the control tower. According to the official account, the object appeared white, moved south above the tower and stayed stationary there for some time. It remained visible until 16:05 and then disappeared. Sunset in Imphal that day was at 16:26, so the whole observation took place in daylight.
The operational consequences were immediate. The airport authority issued a NOTAM, the official notice to airmen, and suspended take-offs and landings for nearly three hours. IndiGo flight 6E-275 from Kolkata was told to hold over the airport and, after about twenty-five minutes, was diverted to Guwahati; 6E-5118 from Delhi ended up in Kolkata. Three departures —6E-525 to Agartala, AI-734 to Kolkata and AI-890 to Guwahati— were held on the ground until the restriction was lifted. The Indian press put the number of affected passengers at around five hundred.
The Air Force's Eastern Command, headquartered in Shillong, was informed and activated its air-defence mechanism. According to the Indian press, Rafale fighters of No. 101 Squadron took off from Hasimara air base in West Bengal and flew low over the area with their sensors. The first found nothing and returned; a second was sent, with the same result. The Air Force's statement was brief: its air-defence response mechanism had been activated on the basis of visual inputs from Imphal airport, and the object, which it described as small, was not seen again.
The record that fixes the facts is parliamentary. On 14 December 2023, MP Manish Tewari asked in the Lok Sabha, the lower house, for details of the object, the closure, the danger to aircraft, flight MH370 and the Government's policy in the event of a sighting. The Minister of State for Civil Aviation, General (ret.) V. K. Singh, answered in writing in unstarred question no. 2024. His answer confirms the time, the source of the alert, the colour, the movement, the duration, the NOTAM and the list of affected flights, and adds a sentence that sums up the institutional logic: any unidentified airborne object in the vicinity of an airport is a danger to operations because of its unpredictable movements, and the Imphal object posed that same danger. It offered no identification of the object, nor did it announce one as pending.
No agency published an explanation afterwards. The press floated a private drone and a balloon, including a comparison with the Chinese balloon shot down over the United States that February; the video that circulated shows a bright dot against the sky that fits a balloon, without allowing a conclusion.
Part 02
Why this case moved the needle
Imphal is a small case phenomenally and a large one documentarily. There is no published radar, no quality photograph and no crew describing structure: there is a white dot in plain sight for an hour and a half. What places it at the upper level of the corpus is the complete, verifiable institutional chain: a federal security force that raises the alert, a tower that turns it into a NOTAM, an airline that diverts flights, an air force that launches fighters and a minister who, before Parliament, confirms every link in writing. Rarely is a sighting set down in such operational detail in an official, publicly accessible document.
The case also illustrates well the distance between 'unidentified' and 'anomalous'. Everything the ministerial answer describes —a white, slow object, stationary at times, visible to the naked eye for hours and not found afterwards by fast aircraft— is what one would expect from a high-altitude balloon, which looks small, seems still and is hard for a low-flying fighter to locate. A private drone, by contrast, fits the duration less well. The balloon hypothesis also has a regional context: Manipur borders Myanmar, and 2023 was the year surveillance balloons became an air-defence concern after the United States episode. That is why the case's partition places most of the weight on a conventional misidentification, leaves a visible fraction for another state's balloon and keeps a broad undetermined share, because the Indian state never identified the object.
For the corpus, Imphal extends coverage to contemporary India —until now represented only by the 2012 Ladakh border reports— and adds a clear example of the real-time transparency pattern: the Air Force publicly acknowledged its fighters' sortie the same day, and the Government answered Parliament in under four weeks. It is also a useful reminder of cost: an unidentified object over a civil airport is treated as a danger to aviation whatever it is, and that safety criterion, more than any exotic hypothesis, is what explains the closure.
Part 03
What's left on paper
Documented evidence
- Written answer by the Ministry of Civil Aviation to Lok Sabha unstarred question no. 2024 (14 Dec 2023): CISF alert at 14:30, white object stationary over the tower, visible until 16:05
- NOTAM and suspension of take-offs and landings for nearly three hours
- Flights 6E-275 and 6E-5118 diverted; 6E-525, AI-734 and AI-890 held on the ground
- Sortie of two Rafale fighters, per the press from No. 101 Squadron at Hasimara, with no contact with the object
- Statement by the Air Force's Eastern Command: air-defence response activated on visual inputs; the object was not seen again
Sources
- Lok Sabha (India) — unstarred question no. 2024, 'Unidentified Flying Object', answer by the Ministry of Civil Aviation (14 Dec 2023) — Primary source: timeline, NOTAM, affected flights and the official assessment of the danger.
- The Tribune — 'UFO affects flight services in Manipur' (19 Nov 2023) — Same-day coverage, including the Kolkata flight diverted after a 25-minute hold.
- The Tribune — 'IAF scrambles Rafale fighter jets to search for UFO sighted near Imphal airport' (20 Nov 2023) — The Rafale sortie and the Eastern Command statement.
- Gulf News / IANS — 'Flight operations suspended for few hours at Imphal airport in Manipur after sighting of UFO' (20 Nov 2023) — Wire report on the closure of over three hours.
Patterns it exhibits (1)
Location
Bir Tikendrajit International Airport, Imphal (Manipur) · 24.76°, 93.90°
Distribution of explanations
This case is classified among the model's hypotheses: the bar splits 100% by how much each explanation weighs (the uncertainty is spread across the hypotheses the case supports). Summed across the corpus they produce the comparable partition. It is a different question from the Probability above: that one estimates how likely the case is a genuinely unexplained phenomenon; this one splits which the explanation would be.
Modal hypothesis: Misidentification 62% · sums to 100%
Confused with: Aircraft
Structured analytical judgment, not a calibrated frequency. Forced classification: the mass the evidence cannot assign is spread across the hypotheses the case does support.
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