Case No. 349·United States

2024·Vicinity of Tyndall Air Force Base, Gulf of Mexico coast, Florida

United States.Two hot 'tic-tacs' over Tyndall, filmed by the Coast Guard

Two infrared sensor clips, reportedly from April 24, 2024 near Tyndall Air Force Base (Florida), are part of the batch of 50 videos AARO located on a classified network while responding to a FOIA request from eight members of Congress for 51 potentially UAP-related records — a batch AARO itself notes lacks a substantiated chain of custody. The title 'USCG C-144 Tyndall UAP TIC TAC IR hot' that names this case was NOT assigned by the Department of War, but by whoever uploaded the file to the classified network: AARO only assesses it as 'likely' that the sensor belonged to a Coast Guard platform in the Southeastern United States in 2024. AARO's own visual description, more modest than the title, records an 'area of contrast' the sensor manages to track in one clip and loses in the other — not the stable capsule silhouette the title suggests.

Year

2024

Tier

A

Probability

20%

Category

Incident

Institutional evidence: multiple verifiable witnesses or official documentation. Three independent axes: the «tier» measures the strength of the evidence; the «probability» estimates how genuinely unexplained the case is —a natural phenomenon can remain unexplained, so it does not equal «non-prosaic»—; and the partition of explanations (below) says what it most plausibly was. So a well-documented case can have a possible hoax as its most plausible cause, and a Tier B is not, for that reason, a hoax.

Primary documents · viewer

DOW-UAP-PR066 — 'USCG C-144 Tyndall UAP 1 TIC TAC IR hot', Apr 24 2024 (48 s)

US Department of War vía DVIDS (PURSUE Release 02) · VIRIN 240424-D-D0360-6523 · Dominio público · US Government work · open original

DOW-UAP-PR065 — 'USCG C-144 Tyndall UAP 2 TIC TAC IR hot', Apr 24 2024 (39 s)

US Department of War vía DVIDS (PURSUE Release 02) · VIRIN 240424-D-D0360-2094 · Dominio público · US Government work · open original

Part 01

The night in question

On March 6, 2026, eight members of the House of Representatives formally requested access to 51 potentially UAP-related records held by the Department of War and the intelligence community. In response, AARO identified a collection of materials existing on a classified network — and explicitly warned, in the record for each of the resulting 50 videos, that 'many of these materials lack a substantiated chain-of-custody.' These two clips, catalogued as DOW-UAP-PR066 and PR065, are part of that batch.

Per AARO's own assessment, the title these clips are known by — 'USCG C-144 Tyndall UAP 1/2 TIC TAC IR hot 24 April 2024' — is an 'uploader-defined title': assigned by whoever uploaded the video to the classified network in June 2024, not by the Department of War or AARO. The agency only assesses it as 'likely' that the footage derives from an infrared sensor aboard a Coast Guard platform operating in the Southeastern United States in 2024 — without confirming platform, exact location, or date.

AARO's own timestamped visual description attached to each clip is more modest than the title, and in places contradicts it. For PR066 (48 s): between seconds 9 and 15, 'an area of contrast appears from the upper right side of the screen; the sensor does not pan to track it, causing it to leave the frame on the left'; between seconds 33 and 48, 'an area of contrast enters from the lower right and leaves on the lower left; the sensor pans left but is unable to track it.' In other words, the sensor never managed to keep the object centered — the opposite of a stable silhouette held in tracking brackets. For PR065 (39 s), the description differs: the sensor does track an area of contrast for much of the clip before losing it while panning left.

The material was uploaded to the public DVIDS portal on May 22, 2026, as part of PURSUE's second drop — which, unlike drops 1, 4 and 5 (which document a combatant command or the Navy's UAP Task Force formally 'submitting a report' to AARO), corresponds entirely to this batch of 50 FOIA/classified-network-origin videos. No intelligence report, crew statement, or coordinates accompany the material — only the footage, AARO's provenance assessment, and the visual description quoted above.

Part 02

Why this case moved the needle

This file is, above all, a lesson in how to read a video title in this corpus. 'TIC TAC IR hot' directly evokes the Nimitz case (2004) and suggests a stable, elongated capsule silhouette with its own thermal signature. But the Department of War did not write that title: an unidentified person wrote it upon uploading the file to a classified network in 2024, and AARO itself only 'assesses' — does not confirm — its origin. The official timestamped visual description depicts something more modest and less consistent: an 'area of contrast' the sensor loses track of in one of the two clips. The gap between the evocative title and the instrumental description is itself the most interesting datum in the file — and a general warning about the rest of the 50-video batch it belongs to (PURSUE Release 02; see and ).

The second reason to keep it is comparative. If the title were institutionally reliable, it would be worth contrasting with the Gulf of Oman —opposite thermal signature ('cold orbs' vs. 'hot')— as a datum about the physical heterogeneity of the 'UAP' category. With the title downgraded to an anonymous third party's label, that contrast loses force: it no longer compares two incompatible institutional assessments, it compares one institutional assessment (Gulf of Oman, with an AC-130 report) against a stranger's impression of a clip of uncertain quality.

The dominant prosaic reading doesn't change because of this — it remains the most likely one: an aircraft seen at distance and an unfavorable angle, in a dense air corridor off the Gulf coast, produces exactly an elongated, hard-to-track area of contrast in infrared. What does change is the certainty about the source: there is no substantiated chain of custody, no platform confirmation, and the very label 'tic tac' —the file's narrative hook— is a stranger's reading, not a sensor finding or an AARO conclusion. That is why the `8d` pattern (dubious provenance) applies here with the same force as in the Reeves case that originated the whole batch.

Part 03

What's left on paper

Documented evidence

  1. March 6, 2026: 8 U.S. members of Congress file a FOIA request for 51 potentially UAP-related records; AARO locates 50 videos on a classified network
  2. AARO explicitly warns: 'many of these materials lack a substantiated chain-of-custody'
  3. The 'TIC TAC IR hot' title is 'uploader-defined' by whoever uploaded the file to the classified network in June 2024 — not assigned by the Department of War
  4. AARO only 'assesses' as likely —without confirming— that the sensor belonged to a Coast Guard platform in the Southeastern U.S.
  5. AARO's official timestamped visual description: an 'area of contrast' the sensor loses in one clip (PR066) and partially tracks in the other (PR065)
  6. Durations of 48 and 39 seconds; VIRIN 240424-D-D0360-6523 and 240424-D-D0360-2094
  7. Released in PURSUE Release 02 (uploaded to DVIDS May 22, 2026) — the entire drop is the FOIA/classified-network batch, unlike drops 1, 4 and 5
  8. No intelligence report, crew statement, or coordinates

Sources

  1. DVIDS — DOW-UAP-PR066, título definido por el uploader, con evaluación de procedencia de la AARO (lote FOIA Reeves, PURSUE Release 02) Video embedded in this case's viewer; the record includes the provenance assessment and the timestamped visual description quoted in whatHappened.
  2. DVIDS — DOW-UAP-PR065, título definido por el uploader, con evaluación de procedencia de la AARO (lote FOIA Reeves, PURSUE Release 02) Second clip from the same batch, also embedded.

Patterns it exhibits (1)

Location

Vicinity of Tyndall Air Force Base, Gulf of Mexico coast, Florida · 30.07°, -85.58°

Distribution of explanations

This case is classified among the model's hypotheses: the bar splits 100% by how much each explanation weighs (the uncertainty is spread across the hypotheses the case supports). Summed across the corpus they produce the comparable partition. It is a different question from the Probability above: that one estimates how likely the case is a genuinely unexplained phenomenon; this one splits which the explanation would be.

Misidentification73%
Classified human technology12%
Non-human + state cover-up9%
Adversary technology3%
Non-human, no state management3%

Modal hypothesis: Misidentification 73% · sums to 100%

Structured analytical judgment, not a calibrated frequency. Forced classification: the mass the evidence cannot assign is spread across the hypotheses the case does support.

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