Case No. 363·Noreste de Estados Unidos (ubicación exacta no revelada)
Developing2021–2025·Northeastern U.S., sparsely populated rural area (exact location undisclosed)
Noreste de Estados Unidos (ubicación exacta no revelada).Four orb sightings within the same 25-mile radius, 2021-2025
Between November 2021 and July 2025, civilian witnesses filmed on their phones four sightings of spherical lights within a 25-mile radius of a rural area in the northeastern United States. The FBI assessed the witnesses as 'highly credible' (the first three) or 'credible' (the fourth, with two independent witnesses), and the U.S. government authenticated at least one of the videos. The four clips —'Triangle-Orbs' (2021), 'Red Orb Rotation' (2022), 'Orbs Over the Pond' (2024) and an untitled fourth (2025)— were released in PURSUE's third drop (June 12, 2026) under a distinct series ('FBI-UAP-PR', not 'DOW-UAP-PR'), with supporting documents (FBI-UAP-D004 through D010) not publicly available outside DVIDS. It is, within the corpus, one of the few multi-year geographic recurrence patterns with an explicit FBI credibility assessment.
Year
2021–2025
Tier
A
Probability
35%
Category
Incident
Institutional evidence: multiple verifiable witnesses or official documentation. Three independent axes: the «tier» measures the strength of the evidence; the «probability» estimates how genuinely unexplained the case is —a natural phenomenon can remain unexplained, so it does not equal «non-prosaic»—; and the partition of explanations (below) says what it most plausibly was. So a well-documented case can have a possible hoax as its most plausible cause, and a Tier B is not, for that reason, a hoax.
Primary documents · viewer
FBI-UAP-PR001 — 'Triangle-Orbs', Nov 2021: single light resolving into multiple lights with erratic rotation
Testigo civil (iPhone 12 Pro), reportado al FBI, vía DVIDS (PURSUE Release 03) · Dominio público · US Government work · open original
FBI-UAP-PR002 — 'Red Orb Rotation', Mar 2022: two stationary red lights, one rotating around the other
Testigo civil (iPhone 12 Pro), reportado al FBI, vía DVIDS (PURSUE Release 03) · Dominio público · US Government work · open original
FBI-UAP-PR003 — 'Orbs Over the Pond', Oct 2024: 'plasma-like' sphere stationary for ~45 min, government-authenticated
Testigo civil (iPhone), analizado y autenticado por el gobierno de EE.UU., vía DVIDS (PURSUE Release 03) · Dominio público · US Government work · open original
FBI-UAP-PR004 — Jul 2025: two red spheres with a white 'plasma' core, formation flight, two witnesses
Dos testigos civiles (iPhone 14 Pro Max), reportado al FBI, vía DVIDS (PURSUE Release 03) · Dominio público · US Government work · open original
Part 01
The years in question
On June 12, 2026, the Department of War published PURSUE's third drop, which —unlike drops 1, 2, 4 and 5, all catalogued on DVIDS under the 'DOW-UAP-PR' series with provenance from the Department itself— included a distinct series identified as 'FBI-UAP-PR,' corresponding to reports received directly by the Federal Bureau of Investigation. Four of those videos document sightings of spherical lights within a 25-mile radius of a sparsely populated rural area in the northeastern United States, over nearly four years.
The first, catalogued as FBI-UAP-PR001 ('Triangle-Orbs'), occurred in November 2021 around 5:00 a.m. local time. A witness observed a bright light source near the horizon, at an estimated distance of 2,000 feet, which initially appeared as a single intense luminous object before resolving into multiple lights with erratic rotational motion relative to one another. The object moved laterally from left to right during the encounter. The witness filmed with a hand-held iPhone 12 Pro, introducing unintended camera movement.
The second, FBI-UAP-PR002 ('Red Orb Rotation'), occurred in March 2022 at 7:20 p.m. local time. The witness observed two bright red light sources hovering near the horizon, at an estimated distance of 2,500 feet, both in generally stationary positions. The lower light source appeared to rotate slowly relative to the upper one, moving from an apparent 6 o'clock position to slightly past 9 o'clock, in the clock-face analogy the report itself uses. The witness heard no sound from the lights.
The third, FBI-UAP-PR003 ('Orbs Over the Pond'), occurred in October 2024 at 6:51 p.m. local time. The witness observed a light source below the horizon, hovering over a pond at an estimated distance of 2,700 feet. The luminous object resembled a 'plasma-like sphere' intermittently changing shape and luminosity. At times, the primary light source appeared to separate into smaller luminous points; a luminous point below the primary source hovered just above the water without behaving consistently with a simple surface reflection. The object remained generally stationary for about 45 minutes before disappearing, with no audible sound. Unlike the other three, this video was 'analyzed and authenticated by the U.S. Government'; the footage was cropped to protect the witness's privacy, but per the record itself received no other edits, enhancements, or alterations.
The fourth, FBI-UAP-PR004, with no assigned title, occurred in July 2025 at 9:00 p.m. local time. The witness observed an intense light in their backyard while parking their car upon returning home from work, hovering about 25 feet off the ground, at an estimated distance of 90 feet. Their spouse came outside to assess the situation and also witnessed the phenomenon, describing it as a 'brilliant red sphere' about one meter in diameter, with a core resembling a white plasma 'sun' about the size of a basketball. The sphere slowly rose and moved to the left; both witnesses then observed a second, identical sphere hovering above the first. As the witness recorded with an iPhone 14 Pro Max, both orbs moved together westward above a nearby tree line, in motion both witnesses described as silent and smooth, 'as though flying in formation or tethered together.' As they moved out of sight, both witnesses saw the orbs appear to merge, at an estimated final distance of 75 yards.
AARO's own record explicitly notes that this fourth sighting occurred 'within 25 miles' of the previous three, at a location 'well known' to the witnesses and sparsely populated — the same kind of area as the first three reports. The FBI assessed the witnesses of the first three events as 'highly credible'; the two witnesses of the fourth event, as 'credible.' All four videos cross-reference a set of supporting documents —FBI-UAP-D004 through D008 for the first three, FBI-UAP-D009 and D010 for the fourth— that could not be located as independent assets on DVIDS from this environment; they may exist only as PDF files on the war.gov portal, inaccessible due to this environment's network allowlist.
Part 02
Why this case moved the needle
This file brings together several traits that are individually uncommon in the corpus, and here appear together: geographic recurrence documented over nearly four years within the same 25-mile radius; an explicit witness-credibility assessment by a federal agency ('highly credible,' 'credible'); a second independent witness corroborating the most recent event; and, in at least one case, formal government authentication of the video. It is, in that sense, one of the most institutionally well-credentialed testimonial patterns in the corpus — not because the phenomenon is resolved, but because the reporting chain (witness → FBI → credibility assessment → release with supporting document) is more robust than that of the vast majority of military-sensor files with no context.
At the same time, it is important not to conflate witness credibility with the nature of the phenomenon. The FBI considering someone 'highly credible' who honestly reports what they saw does not imply that what they saw was necessarily anomalous — it implies they are not lying or fabricating the report. Stationary or slow-moving night lights, with no sound, observed with the naked eye and filmed on a phone with no measuring instrument (rangefinder, GPS, compass), are precisely the kind of evidence most susceptible to prosaic explanations that are hard to rule out without additional data: high-altitude balloons with LED lighting, civilian drones with position lights, Venus or Jupiter near the horizon under particular atmospheric conditions, or even Chinese sky lanterns —increasingly common as decoration— whose slow-ascent pattern and warm color uncomfortably match several of the descriptions here.
That said, some details resist that simple reading better than others. A light rotating around another while maintaining constant relative distance (PR002), a luminous source subdividing into smaller points (PR003), and the 'merging' behavior between two identical orbs (PR004) are not the typical pattern of an isolated balloon or drone, and would require more elaborate mechanisms —multiple coordinated units, or a genuinely unusual atmospheric phenomenon— to sustain a complete mundane explanation. PR003's government authentication also raises that specific piece's weight above a simple unverified report, though 'authenticated' in this context probably means the video file was not digitally altered, not that the captured phenomenon has been identified.
This file's ultimate value to the corpus is twofold: it documents an unusually well-characterized recurrence pattern, and it serves as a reminder that a report's institutional strength —who evaluated it, with what credentials, with what material-verification process— is an analytical dimension separate from whether the reported phenomenon is itself anomalous. Both dimensions matter, but they should not be conflated.
Part 03
What's left on paper
Documented evidence
- Nov 2021 (PR001, 'Triangle-Orbs'): a single light resolves into multiple lights with erratic rotation, 5:00 AM, iPhone 12 Pro
- Mar 2022 (PR002, 'Red Orb Rotation'): two stationary red lights, one rotating from the '6 o'clock' position to past '9 o'clock' relative to the other
- Oct 2024 (PR003, 'Orbs Over the Pond'): a 'plasma-like' sphere over a pond, changes shape/luminosity, subdivides, stationary ~45 min; video authenticated by the U.S. government
- Jul 2025 (PR004): two witnesses (husband and wife) see two red spheres with a white 'plasma' core moving in formation, appearing to merge as they move away
- All four events occurred within a 25-mile radius in the same rural northeastern U.S. area
- The FBI assessed the witnesses as 'highly credible' (PR001-003) or 'credible' (PR004, two witnesses)
- Supporting documents FBI-UAP-D004 through D010 referenced but not located as independent assets on DVIDS
- Released in PURSUE Release 03 (June 12, 2026), 'FBI-UAP-PR' series distinct from the 'DOW-UAP-PR' series covering the rest of the corpus
Sources
- DVIDS — FBI-UAP-PR001 a PR004, con evaluaciones de credibilidad del FBI (PURSUE Release 03) — All four videos are embedded in this case's viewer; each record includes the witness account and FBI credibility assessment quoted in whatHappened.
Patterns it exhibits (2)
Location
Northeastern U.S., sparsely populated rural area (exact location undisclosed) · 43.50°, -72.30°
Distribution of explanations
This case is classified among the model's hypotheses: the bar splits 100% by how much each explanation weighs (the uncertainty is spread across the hypotheses the case supports). Summed across the corpus they produce the comparable partition. It is a different question from the Probability above: that one estimates how likely the case is a genuinely unexplained phenomenon; this one splits which the explanation would be.
Modal hypothesis: Misidentification 56% · sums to 100%
Structured analytical judgment, not a calibrated frequency. Forced classification: the mass the evidence cannot assign is spread across the hypotheses the case does support.
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